11/08/2016 08:22 am ET
HUFFPOLLSTER:
It’s Finally Election Day, And Things Look Good For Democrats
Go vote, and then read
on for poll-based projections and a look back at 2016.
By Natalie Jackson, Ariel Edwards-Levy, and Janie Velencia
HuffPost’s poll-based forecasts give Hillary
Clinton the win and the Democrats a narrow Senate majority. Many
Americans are going to be unhappy regardless of the outcome. And we take a look
back at the campaign. This is HuffPollster for Tuesday, November 8, 2016.
POLL-BASED PROJECTIONS GIVE CLINTON THE WIN - HuffPollster: “The HuffPost presidential forecast model gives
Democrat Hillary Clinton a 98.2 percent chance of winning
the presidency. Republican Donald Trump has essentially no path to an
Electoral College victory.
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What the HuffPost did not mention back then nor since the election was that there was a Trump victory forecast in the HuffPost, and not on election day but nineteen days BEFORE the election, published on October 19, 2016 in the HuffPost, almost a month before the actual vote.
At the time Trump was double-digits behind in the polls.
More remarkably, however, was the earlier story did not just project a win for Trump, but it gave a detailed timeline of how the vote would change throughout the day and night of the election in the form of bulletins, even forecasting the totals would stop changing in late evening and by the middle of the night the realization that Clinton actually would lose the election.
Well I was a HuffPost Contributor at the time and I wrote the story which can be found in the HuffPost archives. Here is exactly what was published in the HuffPost on the election results three weeks before the election took place.
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Jim Putnam, Contributor
Publisher Coltons Point Times
Into the Future - Presidential Election Results
November 8 and 9, 2016
10/19/2016 05:49 pm ET
·
Into the Future -
Presidential Election Results November 8 and 9, 2016
News Bulletin!
Dateline:
Washington, D.C.
November 8, 2016
- 10:00 pm EST
Polls Close in
East - Hillary Declared Winner
The polls just
closed in the East while remaining open in the Midwest and West, but the
mainstream media has already declared Hillary Clinton the 45th and first female
in our nation’s history President.
Based on the
results of Exit Polls throughout the country, most media declared Hillary the
decisive winner. The Exit Polls are interviews with actual voters leaving the
voting booths.
Unlike other
political polls of which there are many, only one presidential Exit Poll exists
and is taken. Since the poll is owned by a coalition of the major television
networks, and it is not released in it’s entirety to the public, there is no
way to validate or verify the results.
In spite of the
tremendous media bias against Donald Trump and media devotion to Hillary
Clinton, it still seems a bit odd the networks declared her the winner with
just below 5% of the national vote cast and counted.
Over 50% of the
public still has time to get out and vote. One might suspect there is media
collusion in trying to discourage possible Trump supporters in these states to
give up and not vote for Trump.
———————————————
News Bulletin!
Dateline:
Washington, D.C.
November 9, 2016
- 1:00 am EST
Historic Hillary
Victory a Tidal Wave claim Pundits
The polls have
now closed in the continental United States as the nation and world await the
results of the presidential election. So far just 22% of the popular vote has
been reported.
Early absentee
voting tallies indicate a record number of Americans cast their ballots before
election day. Political pundits say it is another great sign for a Hillary
landslide. “Banner headlines” in the major newspapers early editions, along
with a never ending stream of “braking news” bulletins on television networks
rejoice in the Clinton victory over Donald Trump, as projected by the media.
No results are
official until certified by the election boards in each state. None have been
certified yet and the national tracking map indicates no electoral votes have
been awarded.
————————————————
News Bulletin!
Dateline:
Washington, D.C.
November 9, 2016
- 5:00 am EST
The national
media continues to tout the Exit Polls and a Hillary landslide but the release
of actual vote totals is at an excruciatingly slow pace by the states.
Those votes
reported to the media indicate a much closer race than the Exit Poll blowout
projection. No pattern is emerging in voting other than a near dead heat in
national vote total while the seven key swing states remain too close to
predict at this time.
Could it be the
national news media Exit Poll is wrong? Early indications suggest if the TV
networks actually reported the results received in Exit interviews, the voters
were giving misleading answers to the media.
Perhaps voters
believe they have a right to keep silent when it comes to elections, an
exercise of their right to privacy.
At the same time,
there are reports of much higher new voter totals than expected, and the
turnout among Independents and Republicans is up significantly.
————————————————
News Bulletin!
Dateline:
Washington, D.C.
November 9, 2016
- 10:00 am EST
Clinton Landslide
fails to Materialize - Exit Polls Wrong - but How Wrong?
A haunting
silence has overcome the nation as Americans wake up and go to work expecting
to hear from our new President Hillary Clinton. Instead, there is a heightened
sense of anxiety on the part of those prematurely declaring Clinton the victor.
After late night
calls for a Clinton victory celebration, her failure to pull away in the
electoral count has stunned and silenced her Establishment friends.
While all seven
key swing states hang perilously in the balance, the leader in popular votes
swings wildly from Clinton to Trump and back like a pendulum on steroids.
Perhaps the
Populist Revolution did not fade away as predicted by the Establishment and
their news media. Maybe the election has nothing to do with Donald Trump but is
a referendum on Clinton and the Establishment.
If proven true,
it will be the greatest upset in election history far surpassing the Truman -
Dewey race in 1948.
—————————————-
News Bulletin!
Dateline:
Washington, D.C.
November 9, 2016
- 6:00 pm EST
Populist Momentum
Carries Trump to 270 electoral votes as America’s Version of the UK Brexit Vote
Stuns the World
