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Today is the beginning of
the American Presidential campaign to replace Barack Obama as Iowans caucus to
pick their choices for Democrat and Republican candidates in one of the most
unusual methods used in the USA.
The "caucus" Iowa style is like no
other form of primary in that it is the first test of the strength of
candidates and first test of their ability to appeal to people, not the media,
not the contributors, but the people.
The two parties differ
somewhat in how to run the caucus, with the Democrats disqualifying anyone with
less than 15% of the vote, which means a redistribution of the votes for
O'Malley to the surviving candidates Clinton and Sanders.
What the media failed to
note until today, is that if Bernie and Hillary tie as the polls seem to
reflect, and Clinton
is the establishment candidate while Sanders is the outsider, it seems logical
that the O'Malley votes are anti-Clinton and therefore will go to Sanders.
If there is a high voter
turnout, and there most certainly will be, Sanders and Trump stand to benefit
the most. If the anti-establishment mood
of the nation is real, and all evidence points to that fact, again Sanders and
Trump benefit.
On the Republican side,
there are a dozen good candidates, including two who won the Iowa primary previously. Then there is the only true outsider
championing the "silent majority" of Americans Trump, who has never
run for public office.
Challenging Trump is Cruz,
claiming to be an outsider but after winning a Senate seat in 2012 and
personally managing the shut down of the US government a couple of years ago,
he hardly qualifies as an outsider. He
also failed to mention he received one million dollars in last minute loans
from Goldman Sachs and Citibank in order to win a runoff for the Senate seat.
In my mind, the
anti-establishment mood of the nation is a direct result of control of our
government by special interests, specifically the financial and banking
powerhouses and pharmaceutical drug makers, through the failure to have
adequate campaign financial limits.
In this election year, the
most special of special interests finance and support two candidates. First is Hillary Clinton, whose family
received millions and millions of dollars from Goldman Sachs dating back to
Bill Clinton's impeachment, while Hillary has received millions from the
financial giants and corrupt hedge funds.
The second is Ted Cruz,
who not only violated federal campaign laws by failing to report the Goldman
loans, he also failed to mention in his bio that his wife is a twelve year
employee and director of Goldman Sachs.
The news media chooses to
make qualified predictions of what will happen today, sort of hedging their
bets since they have been wrong about every aspect of the election this
year. If the turnout is very high, they
say, there is a chance Sanders and Trump will win, but the odds seem to be a
lower turnout and wins by Clinton and Cruz because both spent more money and
have the best organization in Iowa.
I say nonsense a qualified
prediction is like a wimp whose idea of taking a chance is going out on a limb
that is two feet off the ground. Perhaps
we should throw the media into the establishment category as they have done as
much as the big bankers and beholden politicians to undermine our country.
Did I mention Barack Obama
is the third politician who represents the best office holder money can buy
because of his own decade long relationship to Goldman Sachs?
At any rate, the Coltons
Point Times is not afraid to make real predictions on the Iowa race and here they are.
The Winners
The American people who know our government, financial system, our
political parties, and campaign financing system are corrupt to the bone.
Bernie Sanders who will send shock waves throughout the Democrat establishment
machine by beating heavily favored Hillary Clinton with his multitudes of
young, energetic, and untested volunteers.
At the same time, he will help strike a mortal wound to the equally
corrupt political party machines that have controlled our elections.
Donald Trump who is the other side of the double-bladed sword that will lead to
the destruction of the special interest control of America, and who, like Bernie,
comes to the party with no strings attached.
Like Sanders, Trump is bringing millions of Americans back into the
political process in order to slay the mighty machine that has bled America dry.
America has seen nothing like this avalanche of support
for outsiders since Andrew Jackson became our seventh president in 1829 when he
ran against the corrupt financial establishment trying to take control of the
young America.
"It
is to be regretted that the rich and powerful too often bend the acts of
government to their own selfish purposes."
Andrew
Jackson
Jackson served two terms, founded the Democrat party, and
closed down our national bank, the Second Bank of the United States.
Rand Paul
considered inconsequential by the media and Republican Party but who can be
invaluable in shaping a future America
free of special interests. I sense he
will far exceed expectations.
The Losers
Hillary Clinton who finds she is no longer heir-apparent to the presidency and must
stand accountable for all her bizarre acts in government.
Ted Cruz who
discovers a conservative with no personality is largely boring and cannot be
trusted.
Goldman Sachs who thought they had both political parties compromised but might
just be wrong. Even if she loses in Iowa, Hillary still is
the prohibitive favorite to win the Democrat nomination since Bernie is not
even a real Democrat and he is a socialist.
Barack Obama who is counting on Hillary to protect his presidential legacy even
though trusting the Clintons to protect anyone
other than a Clinton
is not a good sign for our president.
Finally, Harvard and Yale could easily be losers
as the two Ivy League schools have controlled the American presidency for the
past 28 years. There are 2,618
accredited colleges and universities in America, give someone else a
chance.
Hillary (Yale) or Cruz
(Harvard) is the standard-bearer expected to maintain the stranglehold on the
presidency that Obama (Harvard), Bush, Jr. (Yale and Harvard), Clinton (Yale),
and Bush, Sr. (Yale) have preserved through four straight presidencies.
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| Trump crowds |
As for the caucus in
general, I expect the Republican turnout to set a new record and the Democrats
to be very close, if not break, the Obama record in 2008.
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| Bernie crowds |
In addition, since Trump
and Bernie will both win the New Hampshire
primary in another week, the shock waves will continue to reverberate through
the political parties and media as the campaign unfolds.
A side note, the Democrat
winning the Iowa
caucus won the presidency in 2008 but the Republican winning the caucus has not
won the presidency in 20 years.
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