Showing posts with label 2016. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2016. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 24, 2016

Obamaville May 24 - The Election - Trump's Greatest Reality Show - America's Greatest Test

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In one corner - The most experienced candidate ever to run for President Hillary Clinton

In the other corner - The most outrageous inexperienced candidate ever to run for President Donald Trump


For those of you who take the 2016 presidential campaign so seriously that you are blinded by hate, overwhelmed by fear, and terrified by the thought of losing, well, I really do not know the antidote to help you make it through the long, dark night.


Had President Obama been successful in legalizing marijuana perhaps there might have been a joint strong enough to help but such was not the case.  You might consider an extended vacation in Colorado where you could remain on a Rocky Mountain high until after November.  Then again, you might consider securing an option on a nice home in Nova Scotia to settle in if you lose.


How long ago it seems this campaign for the ages started with a line up of highly qualified Republicans in the shape of governors, senators, former senate candidates, males, and a female, quite an all-star line up.  Many thought it was the best and most qualified field of candidates ever assembled. Of course, the GOP had two former presidents ready to come to the aid of the heir-apparent of the GOP dynasty, the Bush family.


On the Democratic side was the pre-emptive favorite to win it all, a former White House First Lady, senator, secretary of state, and career politician who just happened to also be a multi-millionaire.  Waiting in the wings was another former popular president known for his wit and charisma who expected to whisk his wife back into the White House, Bill Clinton.


The Democratic field was "fixed" for Hillary but the Republican field was expected to be a blood bath between the conservatives, the more conservatives, the radical right-wing conservatives, and those who wore both suspenders and belts, along with a quiet little voice from a libertarian in the wilderness named Rand Paul for diversity.


The odds on favorites to square off in the fall election were Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush, the legacy candidates with the blue blood and access to a couple of billion dollars for the campaign.


Then someone opened the gates of Hell, most likely an innocent bureaucrat who was tired and pulled the wrong lever.


The Outcasts Emerge

One should expect the unexpected when two certain losers in the eyes of the news media and politicians materialize on the scene.  One was wrapped in gold and stepped out of an escalator from heaven while the other suddenly appeared through a fog of socialism and appeared older than Moses.


The news media laughed and immediately condemned them to the scrap heap of presidential trivia mocking their intent and ridiculing their credentials.


I mean, Trump, the Republican candidate, never ran for political office before.  Fact is he was a Democrat before he filed and a long time contributor to left wing causes including previous campaigns of Hillary Clinton.


His claim to fame, he build VERY big buildings and was more or less a billionaire.  Most knew him as a reality talk show host who gave bombastic a new definition, knew almost nothing about what a president does, and considers his best advisor to be the person facing him in the mirror.


On the Democratic side came a candidate who was not even a Democrat but a registered Independent riding his own wave of socialism for the masses, and standing for about everything America hated.  A socialist might be a Stalin, Hitler, Castro, or some figment of our imagination but not a real person in the citadel of Democracy.


We had a history of destroying socialism in wars and elections since 1776.  As if not being a Democrat and being a rabid socialist were not enough to get the Democratic nomination, add to that the fact Bernie Sanders was also as old as Moses and Jewish to boot.  If elected, he would be the oldest person ever elected to the presidency.


America prides itself in being modern and the last three presidents were all part of the Baby Boomer generation, meaning they were born after the Great War.  We think young and spend a fortune trying to act young so the prospects for someone old enough to be our grandfather, well not quite, winning the election was outrageous.  Our national slogan seemed to be "Young is fun and old sucks."

Enter the time machine and come to the present.

The pre-emptive president Hillary Clinton is coming upon the last primary elections of the presidential year and lo and behold, pesky old Bernie Sanders is still around drawing tens of thousands of young people disenfranchised by Hillary to campaign rallies and causing a rather significant number of worry lines in the already battle tested face of Clinton.


As for the Republican challenger to the Clinton machine, perhaps even more remarkable than Bernie, is the brash and brazen golden boy from Queens who virtually destroyed the entire field of highly qualified Republicans on the way to the nomination.


The impact of Bernie Sanders on the election is rather historic while the impact of Trump on the election just might be cataclysmic.

You see, Bernie was a conventional politician, even a sitting Senator, an indentured member of The Establishment, who used the system to poke holes in the Clinton mystic.  I suspect because he was from Vermont, and the first socialist mayor of a big town, few people ever heard of him.


Trump, well he had other ideas on how to win.  Having never run for office before, he had no loyalty to conventional rules, experience, or consultants.  In fact, he had no clue what they might be.

What he did have was a sixth sense of the mood of the public and he tapped right into a sense of frustration and disgust with the political establishment and the news media establishment by the people.  Whether by design or accident, he knew people were not interested in experience or flowing promises and policy platforms.


People were mad as Hell, and there was no better person to lead them in their anger and frustration than Donald Trump, the outsider from politics, the man who got things done.  He may not have the answers, he may twist facts and exaggerate, but they could count on him to fight for the little people against the ironclad political establishment running and wrecking our nation.

The result, the election rules, and decorum went out the window along with every rule of survival in politics.  Even our vaunted fourth estate, the press, was steamrolled by Trump because of his free wheeling style and most unusual approach.


Bernie calls for a revolution, Trump already shoved it down the throats of The Establishment, and we have not even reached the conventions to nominate the party candidates.

Nearly a month before the end of the primary elections and two months before the convention Trump finished demolishing the entire sixteen-person field running against him.

Already he has turned his machine gun barrage of charges against Hillary and at times it has resembled the Valentine's Day massacre in Chicago.


No one has a clue as to what will happen the last six months until the election.  Trump has already surged into a tie with Hillary.  Leaders of foreign nations have condemned Trump, and still he climbs in the polls.

America is in for one of the most entertaining presidential campaigns in history as Donald Trump finally gets his wish, to be part of the greatest reality show in history.  If he wins, he most likely faces even bigger hurdles winning over the people and then the leaders of the world.


Nothing will ever be the same in politics and maybe not even in life, as we know it.  Some people have long held the belief that people grow into the responsibilities of the presidency.  Students of history can point to many examples and even our most recent president, Barack Obama, has overcome many issues with inexperience to grow into the job.


The survivor of this raucous campaign, whether Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, face many challenges if elected president, and will most certainly be tested by our friends and enemies around the world.  Healing America after the election will be the greatest challenge.  For our part, we must help America heal.

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Wednesday, May 04, 2016

Trump Juggernaut Crushes the Most, the Best, and the Brightest to win GOP Primary

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Billionaire Queens Rich Kid New Voice for the Silent Majority

Over the years, I worked on 32 political campaigns ranging from local, state, and federal including executive and legislative branches.  While I know it may upset the diehard political activists among my readers, I worked for Democrats, Republicans, and Independents.  You see, I never believed in the litmus test theory where you had to pledge blind faith and unwavering loyalty to a philosophical political dogma.


I held fast to the old fashion belief, vote for the person who will do the most good for the people.  Once elected, you serve all the people not just those who voted for you.  In today's partisan world serving a higher purpose does not work.


Perhaps the hardest point of a campaign is the end when you finally know definitively that you won or lost.  Only then does reality set in.  If you were like me then sleep deprivation, horrible eating habits, measuring coffee intake by the pots consumed, stress, expecting the unexpected, and planning for every contingency imaginable and unimaginable, consumed you.


Add to that the mountain of management difficulties from a staff trying to blend professional staff with volunteers, horrendous egos with the darkest of fears of losing, the never-ending pressure to raise more and more money, and assigning critical tasks to thousands of volunteers, and you begin to see the problem.


Of course, that is just the beginning.  Controlling what the staff says to contributors, politicians, and the dreaded media, what the candidate says to the same groups, and what the spouse of the candidate says compounds the complexity tenfold.


Hold on folks, because there is more.  You can take everything I said and multiply it times two, because there is a primary and then a general election.  That is the picture when you plan a campaign.  However, the unexpected still looms large over both campaigns.


Take the current campaign for president.  Donald Trump spent most of the last year defying the experts.  Like him or not, what he did was historic.

No Trump

There was:
1.      John Kasich, Governor
2.      Ted Cruz, Senator
3.      Marco Rubio, Senator
4.      Ben Carson, Surgeon
5.      Jeb Bush, Governor
6.      Jim Gilmore, Governor
7.      Chris Christie, Governor
8.      Carly Fiorina, Senate candidate and CEO
9.      Rick Santorum, Senator
10.  Rand Paul, Senator
11.  Mike Hukabee, Governor
12.  George Pataki, Governor
13.  Lindsey Graham, Senator
14.  Bobby Jindal, Governor
15.  Scott Walker, Governor
16.  Rick Perry, Governor
17.  Donald Trump, CEO


Competition was fierce with nine governors, five senators, one senate candidate, and two with no political experience.  It was the largest primary field in the history of American politics and some say the best field of experienced candidates ever to run in a primary.


The last primary elections are June 7 when California, New Jersey, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota vote.  As of yesterday, May 3, there were just three survivors, a senator, governor, and CEO with no political experience.


By this afternoon, the senator and governor withdrew from the race with no chance to catch the last one standing, Donald Trump.  In the end, it was Trump, the most inexperienced person in the massive field, who connected with the voters and taught the politicians a lot about politics.


The only billionaire in presidential history ran against the establishment and obliterated the field, leaving the political pundits, the right wing think tanks, the news media, the corporate owners of politicians, even the Democrats stunned.


July 18-21 the Republican National convention will take place in Cleveland, Ohio when the delegates vote for the party nominees.  The news media and other candidates have been trying to convince the public no one would have the votes to win on the first ballot and formal Stop Trump movements could derail Trump's potential victory with an open convention.


Well the people had a different idea and gave Trump such a crushing victory last Tuesday in the Indiana primary the last of the competition faded away.  The rich kid from Queens, New York who owns buildings all over the world and some of the greatest golf courses in the world stunned the world and himself, by winning two and a half months before the convention takes place.


The victory came though Trump spent less money than any other major opponent did, and in spite of his opponents running nearly 60,000 attack ads against him.  Perhaps this explains why Trump seemed so subdued when he gave his victory speech.  The victory came way before it was expected.

It is going to be a fascinating general election and once again, you can expect the media and political experts to continue to be wrong because the American public is sick and tired of the empty promises of politicians and the establishment, including the Republican, Democratic, and media.

After defeating a Bush and ending a family political legacy in the primary, Trump now faces a Clinton and another family political legacy in the general election with Hillary Clinton.



A national poll released on the eve of Tuesday’s pivotal Indiana primary showed Republican Donald Trump with a 2-point lead over the presumptive Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton.

Trump’s 41 percent to 39 percent edge marked the first time he has led the race since October.

As recently as March, Clinton led 41 to 36, according to Rasmussen Reports, which conducted the survey.

“I will defeat Crooked Hillary Clinton on 11/8/2016,” Trump triumphantly tweeted on Monday, shortly after the poll’s release.

But the national telephone survey of likely voters also showed that 15 percent of respondents would rather cast their ballots for anyone but the two front-runners.

The tycoon has the support of 73 percent of Republicans, while 77 percent of Democrats back the former first lady.

Trump picked off 15 percent of Democrats, while 8 percent of GOP voters prefer Clinton.

The former “Apprentice” TV star leads 48 percent to 35 percent among men, while Clinton is favored by women, 44 to 34.

Clinton also has a 38-to- 32 lead among those under the age of 40, traditionally a reliable Democratic base, suggesting that younger voters — many of whom now prefer Democrat Bernie Sanders — will be a major target in the upcoming campaign.

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads 37 percent to 31 percent, with 23 percent backing another candidate.

The survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted on April 27 and 28 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 points.

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Tuesday, May 03, 2016

Ted Cruz melts down during Indiana presidential primary

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For weeks presidential candidate Ted Cruz has been demanding everyone else get out of his way so he could go face-to-face against Donald Trump, the presumptive favorite in the Republican presidential primary.


Last week he got his way when he and John Kasich, the other nearly invisible GOP candidate for president made a secret agreement to campaign in different states to stop Donald from getting the nomination.  Cruz, though over two million votes and five hundred delegates behind Trump, and having no chance to win the election based on the voting of people, created a viable strategy to win in spite of the Trump landslide.


He made a deal with the stalwarts of the Republican establishment, at least the radical right wing elements, and a formal Dump Trump, Stop Trump, Anyone but Trump movement was launched.  During the campaign to date about 55,000 television commercials were broadcast attacking Trump.


Leaders of the radical right who believe the best government is no government including Glenn Beck, Bill Kristol, George Will and others took on the job of doing what they believed the American public was too stupid to do, to defeat Trump.


So while Trump was running up the highest vote totals in Republican party history, while powering his way to the presidential nomination, millions of dollars were being spent to stop him by people from his own political party.  Such is the mess the establishment has made of Washington in this day and age.


Needless to say, they blew it first by picking a more radical right-winger, Ted Cruz, as the people's choice. Then by expecting GOP leaders to support a candidate in Cruz they all could not stand.  In fact former Speaker of the House John Boehner referred to Cruz as Lucifer.


The past few days have been a comedy of errors for the Cruz machine and it came to a head just before noon on election day, today, when Cruz held an unexpected press conference and literally melted down while unloading a vicious, rambling, preacheresque diatribe against the guy who will be the nominee for president.


Instead of the White House Cruz may well be headed for the straight jacket.  Just watch the news to learn more of the latest freakish turn in the reality show, the 2016 Presidential Campaign.  Real television has no chance of matching the drama of the campaign.
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Saturday, April 30, 2016

Kentucky Derby Five Favorites in Run for Roses 2016

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ABC News 

Derby 2016: 5 Horses to Watch in 142nd Kentucky Derby

By beth harris, ap racing writer
Apr 30, 2016, 1:02 PM ET

The starting gate will once again be full with 20 horses for the 142nd Kentucky Derby.
Even though the majority of horses have little chance of winning and over the half the field is typically eliminated in the opening quarter-mile, owners and trainers cannot resist the prestige of having a horse in America's greatest race.

Most of the 3-year-olds will be running 1¼ miles for the first time on May 7, leaving it up for grabs to see which handles the distance, track surface and traffic-choked conditions the best.

Trainer Doug O'Neill has the likely wagering favorite in undefeated Nyquist.

Three trainers are expected to have two horses each in the race. Steve Asmussen will saddle Gun Runner and Creator, Todd Pletcher has Wood Memorial winner Outwork and Tampa Bay Derby winner Destin, and Chad Brown has Shagaf and Blue Grass runner-up My Man Sam.

Here are five horses to watch:






EXAGGERATOR

A son of two-time Horse of the Year Curlin. He's trained by Keith Desormeaux and ridden by Kent Desormeaux, the Hall of Fame jockey who is Keith's younger brother. The colt has three wins in eight career starts and earnings of $1 million. He has lost to Nyquist three times, including last year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile. Exaggerator is a versatile sort who can press the pace or stalk the leaders. He is coming off an impressive 6¼-length victory in the Santa Anita Derby on a sloppy track.




GUN RUNNER

The colt topped the Derby leaderboard with 151 points earned in prep races. He has four wins in five career starts, including the Louisiana Derby and Risen Star this winter. Trainer Steve Asmussen, recently elected to racing's Hall of Fame, is seeking his first Derby victory. He will also saddle Creator. Gun Runner has the second-highest earnings of $1.6 million among the horses expected to make the field.




MOHAYMEN

The colt had his five-race winning streak snapped in the Florida Derby, when he finished fourth behind Nyquist as the 4-5 favorite. Trainer Kiaran McLaughlin tosses out the clunker, saying Mohaymen has had "only two bad minutes in his entire life." The colt is one of two (Shagaf is the other) in the race owned by Sheikh Hamdan bin Rashid Al Maktoum, the 70-year-old deputy ruler of Dubai. The Maktoum family is 0 for 8 at the Derby. Mohaymen's blood lines include Triple Crown winners Secretariat and Seattle Slew.




MOR SPIRIT

Any Derby horse trained by Bob Baffert is worth consideration. The Hall of Fame trainer has four Derby victories, including last year when American Pharoah began his journey to Triple Crown glory in this race. Another Hall of Famer, Gary Stevens, will ride the Pennsylvania-bred colt. Stevens has three Derby wins, the last coming in 1997 aboard Silver Charm, who was trained by Baffert. Mor Spirit has never been worse than second in seven career starts.




NYQUIST

The colt brings a 7-0 record into Churchill Downs, bettering the marks of Seattle Slew in 1977 and Smarty Jones in 2004 when they were 6-0 and won the race. He comes in off a five-week layoff, having last won the Florida Derby. The colt has won from just about everywhere: on the rail, from the far outside, leading all the way or coming from off the pace. Nyquist is a son of Uncle Mo, who also went undefeated in his 2-year-old season. Uncle Mo was the early favorite for the 2011 Kentucky Derby, but he was scratched the day before because of illness and was later diagnosed with a rare liver disease. The colt is named for Detroit Red Wings player Gustav Nyquist; owner Paul Reddam is a big fan of the hockey team. Reddam, trainer Doug O'Neill and jockey Mario Gutierrez were the same team behind I'll Have Another, who won the first two legs of the Triple Crown in 2012 before being scratched on the eve of the Belmont Stakes with a career-ending leg injury. Nyquist is the richest horse in the Derby field, having earned $3.2 million. He was purchased for $400,000.